Ryan Grim on Trump’s likely policies

November 6, 2024

Ryan Grim wrote an excellent post on Drop Site News about the possible consequences of victories by both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Here’s what he wrote about Trump.

Let’s take seriously what Trump will actually do, versus what his opponents claim he’ll do.  Some of the more lurid warnings, I think, are wildly overblown.  But not all of them.  It’s extremely likely he will assign significant resources toward a roundup of immigrants, and will do so in a flamboyant fashion, deploying the military if he can get away with it.  If he’s extra lucky, there’ll be mass resignations of military brass as a result, allowing him to elevate loyalists. 

Stephen Miller, a deeply dangerous and strategic man, will have immense power.  Trans rights will be in the crosshairs and so will abortion rights. 

I’m less worried about his promise to add a 20 percent tariff to everything.  He continues to speak highly of Robert Lighthizer as his top trade adviser, and Lighthizer is very good at what he does.  Lighthizer was Trump’s United States Trade Representative and lefty trade hands and unions were generally supportive of his approach, even as they had some disagreements.  If Lighthizer guides trade policy, it won’t be reckless. 

Trump’s tax cuts from his first term will also come up for renewal, and I’d expect he’ll successfully extend and deepen them, particularly for the rich and corporations. 

He will fire an enormous number of federal employees.  Whether he can hire enough to replace them is a different question, but at minimum he’ll be able to break a lot of federal agencies. 

He’ll go after the American university system with a vengeance.  Look at what Chris Rufo has managed to do in Florida under Ron DeSantis for a flavor of what Trump could do nationally. 

He will rescind or simply not deploy much of the climate spending included in the Inflation Reduction Act.  He hates eclectic vehicles, though his alliance with Elon Musk may protect some of that. 

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Sam Kriss on the Democrats’ loss

November 6, 2024

Sam Kriss wrote this on his Numb at the Lodge blog.  I put it under the heading of “just kidding (but not really).”

One of my most foundational political beliefs is that while the winner in an election doesn’t usually deserve to win, the loser always deserves to lose. I can’t think of anyone who deserved to lose more than Kamala Harris.

According to the Democratic Party, the election they just lost in a humiliating landslide was the most important election in anyone’s lifetime, a last-ditch effort to protect democracy itself from Trump’s incipient authoritarianism.

Out of the entire population, they could only choose one person to be their champion, to go head-to-head against Donald Trump and stop his new fascist cacocracy from becoming reality. The lives and welfare of millions—billions!—depended on their making the right choice.

And who did they pick? One of the least popular politicians in the country, the goofy cackling woman who says things like ‘It is time to do what we have been doing, and that time is every day,’ who seems mildly but permanently xanned, who moves through the world like a pat of half-melted butter.

For the Democrats to lose one election to Donald Trump by nominating an obviously terrible candidate is an honest mistake. Two, and something’s up. The question isn’t why Harris lost to Trump—why was she ever in a position to lose to him in the first place? 

[snip]

Donald Trump exists within the purely instinctive life, a kind of wafting meditative state in which everything is possible. He can levitate a few inches off the ground; he is capable of extreme evil. Last time, he tried to overturn the result of a democratic election, which is extremely bad juju.

But democracy is on the ballot is an incredibly antidemocratic slogan. You have no choice other than to vote for us, it says. You don’t get a say in the matter. Whichever grasping freak we pick is your only option: now deal with it. It should not surprise you that a lot of people look at the offer you’re making, and decide to pass.

Trump will be bad. He probably won’t be as bad as his enemies keep screeching, but he’ll be bad.

This is your fault. Once, when the kings of Israel sinned, God sent terrible empires to sack the holy city of Jerusalem, carry away its temple goods, massacre its people, and sell the survivors into slavery.

Things have changed, but not that much. Now, he sends the king of the morons. You have sinned, and Trump is your punishment: whatever happens next, you will deserve it. You did not learn!

A best-case scenario for a Trump admintration?

November 6, 2024

Alex Tabarrok is an economics professor of libertarian leanings on the faculty of George Mason University.  He posted his reasons for being hopeful about a Trump administration on the Marginal Revolution web log.

  • Trade Policy: Moderate tariff increases on China. No Chinese electric cars for us. But drop the “tariffs on everything” language. He can always say his rhetoric was a threat to get other countries to lower their tariffs. Let’s instead talk tough against our enemies but shift toward “friend-shoring”, maintaining or even lowering tariffs with allied nations, such as Canada, Europe, and possibly India, as part of a broader strategy to contain China’s influence.
  • Border Control: Trump must strengthen the border. But let’s limit deportations to individuals who arrived in the past four years. Control the border, throw some illegals out but minimize human misery by not deporting long-term residents and their US-citizen families. Declare a win while avoiding economic disruption and strengthening the police state.
  • Vaccine and Health Policy: Appoint Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to head a committee on vaccine policy and, after several years of investigation, write a report. Take medical freedom more seriously.
  • Crypto Regulation: Appoint Hester M. Peirce to head the SEC. Stabilize the regulatory environment for cryptocurrency. Simplify tax rules for crypto. Support digital dollar growth and treat stablecoins as what they are, namely, the US dollar dominating world electronic payments.
  • Space and Innovation: U.S. Space Force! Commit to Mars exploration and position the U.S. as a leader in space innovation. Get advice from Elon.
  • US AI. Immediately approve Meta for its nuclear-AI program. Swat the bees. Approve Amazon as well. Tell the FERC that their job is to increase the supply of energy. Keep the Chip Act but make it clear that the goal is to dominate the space not make jobs or social policy. We are the world leaders in AI. Let’s keep it that way.
  • Kill Bureaucracy: Let Elon Musk take the chainsaw to a few bureaucracies like Javier Milei. Afuera! Afuera! Afuera! Streamline bureaucratic processes, cut red tape and invigorate tech and infrastructure initiatives.
  • Respect Meritocracy: End race and gender based discrimination in government programs.
  • Expand Housing Supply: Build baby build! Trump is a natural to lead this. Trump the developer! Incentivize states and localities to streamline zoning laws and reduce restrictions that hamper new housing developments. Increase housing supply.

LINK

What’s the best-case scenario for a Trump presidency? by Alex Taborrak for Marginal Revolution.  Just to be clear, I mostly disagree with Taborrak’s views, but I  do think he is thoughtful and thought-provoking.

U.S. politics, fascism and the age of Trump

October 30, 2024

American politics since 2015 or so has revolved around the cult of the personality of a single individual: Donald Trump.

Establishment Democrats and Republicans depict Trump as an existential threat to democracy, who must be stropped at all costs, including abrogating fundamental constitutional and democratic rights.  Nothing else matters as much.

There is a hard core of Trump supporters who regard him as a savior. No Democrat since Barack Obama has inspired this kind of loyalty. There is an outer layer of Trump supporters who are aware of his flaws, but regard him as a lesser evil than the status quo.

Many of my personal friends and Internet acquaintances regard Trump as morally and politically the equivalent of Hitler.  While I do not regard Trump as a man of peace or a champion of civil liberties, I recall we all lived through one whole Trump administration before and lived to tell the tale.

The Hitler-Trump talk generally includes the phrase, “This man must not be allowed to take power.”  Not, “this man must not win the Nov. 5 election,” but take power.  If you could travel back in time and assassinate Hitler before he was sworn in as Chancellor in 1933, wouldn’t you do it?

Many people in authority predict riots and disorder on election day.  It is easy to see how this could be used by a lame-duck Democratic administration to invoke of the Insurrection Act and declare a state of emergency.  Or maybe Trump could be convicted and sentenced to prison on one of the charges pending against him before he is inaugerated.

“Lambert Strether” of Naked Capitalism has written a good post on a possible scenario of how this could happen.  The America This Week podcast by Matt Taibbi and Walter Kern regularly considers this possibility. 

I myself do not predict this will happen.  I have no idea what will happen. I do say I am uneasy about what may happen between election day and inauguration day.

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Make the case for Biden, Harris or Trump

October 30, 2024

This is an open thread.  I want comments that list positive traits or accomplishments of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump or the Biden-Harris or Trump administrations.

My purpose is to test my theory that American voters’ motives for supporting either of the candidates in the 2024 presidential election is hate or fear of the other candidate.

On this particular post, I want only positive comments, preferably based on fact rather than adjectives.  Comparisons are ok, provided one side of the comparison is positive, but I don’t want lesser-evil arguments. Positive comments about small-party candidates are ok. 

Purely negative comments or parts of comments are subject to deletion.

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The outlook for Israel is not good

October 27, 2024

What Has Israel Achieved in the Past Year? by Arch Bungle for Moon of Alabama.

Genocide Watch: Links 10/25/2024

October 25, 2024

The friend who sent me this video told me that the two little girls must be Christians, because they do not wear Muslim headdresses. An estimated 1 percent of the Palestinian Arab population are Christians.

What Doctors and Nurses in Gaza Saw from the New York Times.

“Our Job  Is to Flatten Gaza.  No one will stop us”: Inside one Israeli battalion’s year-long mission of destruction by Yunis Tarawi and Sami Vanderlip for Drop Site.

Video of Sexual Abuse at Israeli Sde Prison Is Latest Evidence Sde Teiman Is Torture Site by Jonah Valdez for The Intercept.

UN Probe Finds ‘Appalling Acts’ of Torture Against Palestinians Detained by Israel by Edward Carver for Common Dreams.

UN Expert Says Impunity for Israel Must End as ‘Genocidal Violence’ Spreads to the West Bank by Jake Johnson for Common Dreams.

Why I am not voting for Kamala Harris: My red line is genocide and no ‘good vibes’ campaigning will change it by Maura Finkelstein for Al Jazeera.  Of course Donald Trump, based on his record and statements, is as much and possibly more of an enabler of genocide than Harris or President Biden.

Why I cast a blank ballot for President

October 23, 2024

I sent in a mail-in ballot last Saturday.  I cast a blank ballot. 

I was unwilling to vote for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.  They were the only candidates on the ballot, so I had no choice.

Whichever one is elected, we Americans will have four more years of war, four more years of declining living standards and four more years of attacks on basic civil liberties, just as we’ve had for the past eight years and more. 

We will have a continuation of support for Israel’s genocidal attacks on Palestine and Gaza with money, arms and personnel.  I feel sick and ashamed just thinking about it.  We will very likely continue to gamble with the possibility of nuclear war.

We will almost certainly lack meaningful preparation to deal with threats such as climate-related weather catastrophes, pandemic disease, shortages due to trade wars and exhaustion of natural resources.

I would have voted for Jill Stein of the Green Party, not only because she is a peace candidate, but because, unlike Trump and Harris, she gives interviews in which she shows mastery of the issues while maintaining her composure and dignity.

But New York state has changed its requirements for small parties to get on the ballot, and the Greens, like the Libertarians, didn’t make the cut this year.

Neither party represents me.  Neither respects the democratic process.

Roughly speaking, Democrats try to win by trying to kick their opponents off the ballot and deny them access to social media, and Republicans try to win by kicking voters off the registration rolls.

Why should I waste my vote on either of them?

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Why these rural Democrats went for Trump

October 23, 2024

Voters in rural Elliott County, Kentucky, voted for Democrats for President, from 1872 through 2012.  In 2016 NS 2020, they gave a big majority to Trump, and probably will do the same this year.  Yet in 2019 and 2023, they voted for liberal Democrat Andy Beshear for governor.

Why?  Journalists John Russell and Nehemiah Stark went there to find out.  Their conclusion is that the change is because the Democratic Party has changed from being the party of unions and wage-earners to the party of free trade and big business.

Can it change back?  Can the Republican Party become the working class party?  I doubt it.  What do you think?

Perfectly timed photos

October 19, 2024

Time for something a little lighter.

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Who started the war in Lebanon?

October 16, 2024

 

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Should the USA police the world? No

October 12, 2024

Last Wednesday Matt Taibbi and investigative reporter Lee Fang took the negative position in a debate with Jamie Kirchik of the Atlantic Council and Bret Stephens of the New York Times on the question, “Should the United States still police the world?”

Taibbi, like many writers, is better with the written word than the spoken word.  He posted his afterthoughts  yesterday. They were eloquent and true, and well worth reading in full.  Here are some key paragraphs.

Before World War II the British mocked us as a bumbling giant too timid to become a global power. A Foreign Office memo said, “They have enormous power, but it’s the power of the reservoir behind the dam.”

Now we throw our weight around all the time, and somehow, there isn’t much left behind the dam.

That’s not a material or financial assessment. Our biggest losses since 1945 have been in the realm of things Caesar measured when considering the worthiness of adversaries: valor, dignity, judiciousness.

With our awesome military and resources we should never lose a war, but we’ve suffered numerous humiliations at the hands of more furious and determined adversaries in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan, to say nothing of disasters like our Libyan engagement.

The common theme has been politicians betraying soldiers by saddling them with unjust or unclear missions, against people fighting on their own land for their lives and families.

These losses haven’t dented our military power, but they have drained any claims to honor, things unfortunately not detectable to those reading line items in Washington. [snip]

Invading a country whose people have done nothing to us isn’t something you can shrug off as a “blunder.” The shame sticks, it arouses enmity, and (in a way I don’t think hawks even try to understand) advertises superficiality of thought, which is a kind of weakness. A trigger-happy nation is a dumb nation, and dumbness doesn’t scare anyone.

We’ve been dumb a lot. We backed massacres of (conservatively) 500,000 by the Indonesian Army under Suharto in the mid-1960s, were complicit in deaths of nearly 2,000,000 civilians lost in Indochinese wars (including a generation of horrific birth defects caused by Agent Orange), 160,000 killed in Guatemalan massacres, 200,000 civilians killed in Iraq, 50,000 more in Afghanistan, tens of thousands more in Chile after the 1973 coup, the El Mozote massacre in El Salvador in 1981, and so on.  [snip]

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How to live at the end of the world

October 11, 2024

DOOMER: How to Live at the End of the World by Jessica Wildfire (2024)

Jessica Wildfire writes an excellent blog called Sentinel Intelligence (formerly OK Doomer), which is about existential threats to society and how to survive them, both on an individual and societal level.

It provides good information, mainly but not exclusively about covid and climate change.  It includes a valuable online library of links to scientific articles, mainly but not exclusively about covid.

But Doomer is not about these topics.  It is about the reasons why people almost always ignore warnings of disaster, not matter how well-founded, and why those who gave warning are almost never acknowledged, even when their warnings prove correct.

A certain percentage of the population who possess what she calls “sentinel intelligence,” which is the ability to perceive when something is wrong and to act on it.  But a much higher percentage of the population is mentally hard-wired to associate bad things with people who warn about the bad things, and not with those who gave false reassuring statements.

The Cassandras who warned of the folly of invading Iraq, of the need to keep the New Orleans levees in repair prior to Hurricane Katrina or the danger of wild financial speculation prior to the 2008 financial crash – none of them got any credit for having been proved right.  Instead we are told “nobody could have foreseen … …”

The great example she gives is hostility to people who wear masks for protection against covid.  Covering one’s nose and mouth is simple common sense if you want to protect yourself against an incurable, highly infectious, incapacitating virus that is occasionally fatal, which is what covid is.  Wearing a mask harms no-one and may make others safer.

People also may wear masks because they are allergic to pollen in the air, or because they have jobs where they are exposed to particulate matter, or for other reasons. 

Yet mask wearers are stigmatized and even outlawed in some jurisdictions, including Nassau County on Long Island.  Here’s a letter to the editor of a local paper there.

Of course the supposed danger of masked criminals is just an excuse.  The basic reason for this hostility is that maskers remind the public that covid is still a threat and that little is being done about it. 

Another problem is the kind of learned helplessness that seems to pervade US American society nowadays.  Wildfire gave as an example a woman who was in the Twin Towers on Sept. 11, 2001, when the airplanes hit.

The force of the explosion knocked her out of her chair, but the woman said afterwards that her first reaction was disbelief and the hope someone would tell her she was imagining things

She was immobilized until she heard someone say, “Get out!”  If not for that, she probably would have died.  Even then, she took a few minutes to gather up her stuff before she fled.

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Did God give Lebanon to Abraham?

October 8, 2024

A writer for the Jerusalem Post said God’s promise to Abraham included not only what I think of as the Holy Land (the former British Palestine Mandate), but also Lebanon and other adjoining lands.

The article, by one Mark Fish, has been taken down, but it is not the only JP article expressing that view at a time when Israel is  invading Lebanon.  Here is the meat of the article.

In the last generation, the term “Greater Israel” has come to the forefront. It is sometimes used in political or religious discussions about the ideal or future borders of Israel, often in the context of messianic or Zionist aspirations. Some interpret it as a call for the re-establishment of Israel’s biblical borders. However, the concept varies in meaning, ranging from symbolic or spiritual interpretations to literal geographical claims.
 
This term refers to the concept of the biblical boundaries of the Land of Israel as promised to the Jewish people in various parts of the Torah. It is often associated with the land described in the Covenant with Avraham (Brit Bein HaBetarim), which stretches from the “River of Egypt” (interpreted by some as the Nile or a smaller river in Sinai) to the Perat River. This expansive region includes parts of modern-day Israel, the West Bank, Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Jordan, and Iraq.
 
When Hashem [God] promised Avraham Avinu the Land of Israel at the Brit Bein HaBetarim, the pasuk says (בראשית טז): “On that day, Hashem made a covenant with Avram, saying: To your descendants, I have given this land—from the river of Egypt to the great river, the Euphrates.”
 
At the blessing at the end of Parshat Ekev, Hashem tells us that we are granted every land we will conquer within the borders mentioned. In the north, the Torah states: “Every place where the sole of your foot will tread shall be yours—from the wilderness and the Lebanon, from the river—the Euphrates River—until the western sea shall be your boundary.” This promise from the Creator clearly places the land of Lebanon within the Promised Land of Israel, or what some refer to as “the Complete Land of Israel,” or “The greater Israel.”
 
This claim goes well beyond the territory actually occupied by the nations of Israel or Judah in Biblical times.
 
Mark Fish does not necessarily speak for the government of Israel.  He most certainly does not speak for all Jewish people nor for all citizens of Israel.  But the fact that such sentiments can be published in a leading newspaper indicates that such sentiments are acceptable.

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The fake populism of JD Vance

October 7, 2024

JD Vance is much less of a populist than I have given him credit for and more of a blood-and-soil nationalist.  This post is to set the record straight.

I first heard of Vance because of his book, Hillbilly Elegy.  He tells how he raised himself from a culture of poverty to the culture of the middle class, and then to the elite.  His moral is that character and self-discipline are more important than external circumstances.

Born in 1984, he grew up in Middletown, Ohio, in a family whose forebears came from eastern Kentucky and were products of the Appalachian culture, which is based on extreme individualism and assertiveness.

The community had fallen on hard times because of the decline of Armco Steel, its major employer.  Many people there had given up on life  Vance’s mother was addicted to drugs.  He said living with her and the succession of men in her life was an experience of never-ending emotional violence.

He was basically raised by his maternal grandmother, a profane and belligerent woman who nevertheless was a strict and loving surrogate parent who taught him responsibility.  Later he lived for a time with his birth father, a member of a Pentecostal church, and learned what it was like to be part of a supportive religious community.

The major transformative influence in his life was his four-year service in the Marine Corps, where he learned discipline and self-discipline.  He then earned a degree from Ohio State University and enrolled in Yale Law School.

So far, so meritorious.

But the next stage in his rise was not based on character and achievement.  It was based on acquiring traits that would make him acceptable to members of the American elite.

He was mentored in elite behavior by his law school professor, Amy Chua, author of The Battle Hymn of the Tiger Mother, and his future wife, Usha Chilukuri, an upper-class California girl who was the daughter of immigrants from India.

After graduating from Yale, Vance practiced law for a couple of years and then joined Mithril Capital,  a venture capital firm headed by Peter Thiel, in San Francisco, in 2016 and 2017.

Thiel is an interesting character. He is the son of German immigrants who brought him to the U.S. at the age of one.  He is a billionaire through having been a co-founder of PayPal and an early investor in Facebook and other highly successful businesses.  He is gay.  He backed Donald Trump for the Republican nomination in 2016 and has supported him rhetorically and financially ever since.

Vance reportedly spend much of his time with Mithril working on Hillbilly Elegy.  In it, he accused Trump of offering fake solutions to American workers’ problems.  He compared faith in Trump to opioid addiction.  But he soon changed his mind.

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China’s industrial supremacy: a reminder

October 3, 2024

Background facts on Ukraine

October 1, 2024

As the two major candidates for the U.S. vice presidency prepare to debate Tuesday night in Manhattan, veteran U.S. intelligence officials have some firm advice for them on Ukraine.

MEMORANDUM TO: The Candidates for U.S. Vice President

FROM: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity

SUBJECT: Clarity on Ukraine

At Tuesday’s debate, we strongly suggest you avoid repeating familiar “facts” that do not bear close scrutiny. Chief among these is the claim that Russia’s decision to send troops into Ukraine was “unprovoked.”  A companion is the claim that Russia will not stop in Ukraine and that Poland will be “next”.

A constructive debate needs to be informed by accurate facts; we offer some below:

Unprovoked

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg inadvertently gave the game away on Ukraine during a speech at the European Parliament on Oct. 7, 2023, with these words:

“He [Putin] wanted us never to enlarge NATO…We rejected that…So he went to war to prevent more NATO.”

Reaching farther back, we remind you that on Feb. 1, 2008 Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told then-U.S. Ambassador William Burns in no uncertain terms that Russia would be provoked if NATO invited Ukraine to become a member.

Burns titled the embassy cable #08MOSCOW265, sent immediately to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice:

“NYET MEANS NYET: RUSSIA’S NATO ENLARGEMENT RED LINES.”

Nevertheless, Bush and Cheney scorned that warning and just two months later successfully pressed other NATO leaders to agree, in the NATO Summit Declaration of April 3, 2008, that Ukraine “will become a member of NATO.”

You will probably recall that earlier still, on Feb. 9, 1990, Secretary of State James Baker successfully persuaded Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev to accept reunification of Germany in return for an undertaking by the U.S. not to expand NATO “one inch eastward.”

Since then NATO has more than doubled in size, with all new members east of what had been East Germany.

Coup d’ Etat, Kyiv, Feb. 2014

The coup in Kiev, appropriately known as the “most blatant coup in history” – drove out duly elected Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych and turned the issue of Ukraine joining NATO into a very live issue. The coup government, which was given official U.S. recognition in record time, immediately called for NATO membership

Crimea was the first big fly in the ointment. By an accident of history Crimea, traditionally part of Russia, had been ceded to Ukraine by Soviet fiat (ukaz) in 1954. It hardly mattered then because Ukraine was a constituent Republic of the USSR.

After the USSR fell apart in 1991, and after the 2014 coup leaders declared NATO membership as a main goal, it mattered greatly.

Crimea’s strategic significance to Russia cannot be understated. Suffice it to point out here that Russia’s only ice-free naval base is in Crimea. That’s why a quick plebiscite was held; the vote was overwhelming in favor of annexation by Russia; and that was speedily accomplished.

This too was branded “unprovoked” by the likes of Sen. John McCain. The Establishment media were obfuscating this issue to such an extent that one of us was provoked into sending a letter to the editor of The Washington Post, published on July 1, 2015:

“Sen. John McCain was wrong to write that Russian President Vladimir Putin annexed Crimea without provocation. What about the coup in Kiev on Feb. 22, 2014, that replaced President Viktor Yanukovych with pro-Western leaders favoring membership in NATO? Was that not provocation enough?

This glaring omission is common in the Post.

The March 10 World Digest item ‘Putin had early plan to annex Crimea’ described a “secret meeting” Mr. Putin held on Feb. 23, 2014, during which ‘Russia decided it would take the Crimean Peninsula.’ No mention was made of the coup the previous day. …”

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‘National conservatism’ and American patriotism

September 28, 2024

[Revised 09/29/2024]

I’ve been delving more deeply into national conservatism ideology, and I now think I’ve been too easy on its followers. They advocate a form of American nationalism that is divorced from mainstream American tradition.

I should have emphasized this more than I did in my previous post on national conservatism, and I have added material to that post.

The NatCons say that love of nation does not arise from belief in certain ideals, such as inalienable rights or government of, for and by the people. Rather it arises from common lineage, traditions, culture and religion.  I don’t think these things are the basis of American unity.

Lineage is not the basis of American nationality. The descendants of the pre-1776 settlers of the USA are a minority. But their ideals, as expressed in the Mayflower Compact, the Declaration of Independence, the Bill of Rights, Washington’s Farewell Address – those ideals live on.

Likewise members of the mainstream pre-1776 churches – Congregationalists, Episcopalians, Presbyterians and Quakers – are now a tiny minority. But the Protestant Christian ideals of that time – congregational democracy, freedom of religion – live on and influence religious bodies outside that tradition.

How about traditions and culture? Look at the iconic American cultural figures – Thomas Jefferson, Ralph Waldo Emerson, Henry Thoreau, Abraham Lincoln, Walt Whitman, Mark Twain, Will Rogers, Carl Sandburg, the artist Norman Rockwell.  Aren’t all their works, in different ways, expressions of love of freedom and democracy?

As a schoolboy, I was taught that the defining characteristic of us Americans was our love of freedom and democracy.  This is certainly not the whole story.  But remove love of freedom and democracy from American tradition, and what is left that is worth of respect?  Our military conquests?  Our big businesses?  Affluence?  Superhero movies?

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A closer look at “national conservatism”

September 27, 2024

Revised 09/28/2024.

We Americans hear a lot about “Christian nationalism,” but there is an adjacent, similar movement afoot called “national conservatism,” that is much more interesting and consequential.  

National conservatives – I’ll call them NatCons – hold annual conventions, have a web site and have published a manifesto.  Their members include tenured college professors and published writers.

The National Conservatism Conference has been held annually since 2019.  It attracts nationalists from all over the Western world.  The meetings are funded by the Edmund Burke Foundation, which is headed by Yoram Hazony, who has dual American and Israeli citizenship.

True, the attendance is small.  I doubt that the majority of Americans have heard of NatCons.  But I think they do reflect a growing tendency throughout the Western world, which is to affirm traditional cultural values while opposing international organizations that override national sovereignty.

National conservatives reject liberalism and universalism in all their forms.  Although they have varied views, they all believe in national unity is more important than respect for individual human rights.

Their highest profile member is the contentious JD Vance (he uses initials without periods in place of a first name), the Republican vice-presidential candidate.  Though politically unknown prior to winning a Senate seat in 2022, he soon may be a heartbeat away from being President of the United States.

Some of Vance’s more offensive statements, such as his claim that Haitian immigrants eat pet dogs and cats, or his ridicule of childless women who love cats, can be understood as part of national conservative ideology.

I’ll try to summarize NatCon principles accurately, based mainly on a manifesto, in a form I hope NatCons themselves would accept as accurate.   After that I’ll give my assessment and critique.  (If you think I’ve got the NatCons wrong, please set me straight in the comments section.)  

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Horace Greeley, champion of American freedom

September 21, 2024

HORACE GREELEY: Champion of American Freedom by Robert C. Williams (2006)

Horace Greeley was arguably the most famous American social reformer of the mid-19th century.  He was the editor and publisher of the New York Tribune, the nation’s largest-circulating newspaper.  He was a founder of the Republican Party.

Thurlow Weed, William Seward, Abraham Lincoln and U.S. Grant were among politicians who sought his support.  Henry Thoreau and Margaret Fuller were among writers whose early works were published in his newspapers.

Horace Greeley, 1840s

He was loved by masses of the public, but sophisticates of his own day, including many who sought his patronage and support, smiled at him behind his back for his naive idealism, his eccentricities and his lack of polish.

With his hat and long white coat, Greeley did look more like a farmer who’d come into town for supplies than a mover and shaker.  In this book, biographer Robert C. Williams seeks to rehabilitate Greeley’s image.

The subtitle refers to a theme of the book, which is that Greeley represented America’s shift from an ideal of liberty, which is personal, to an ideal of freedom, which is universal.

We live in a time when the ideals of both individual liberty and universal freedom have been called in question, so Greeley’s life and ideals are relevant for our own time.

Patrick Henry said, “Give me liberty or give me death,” and meant it, but what he meant was that he would die rather than give up his own liberty.  He did not extend liberty to his human property in enslaved black people.

Greeley believed in freedom for everyone.  He wrote in support of every oppressed group he knew about—slaves, women, the poor, the landless, Irish under British rule and rebels against European despots.  He was an active supporter of experiments with utopian communities based on equality and free association, of which there were many in the USA in his era.

Born in 1811 in New Hampshire, he was the son of an unsuccessful farmer named Zaccheus Greeley, who moved west after repeated failures and wound up in the extreme western part of New York.

Young Greeley received no schooling and was taught to read by his mother.  He educated himself by reading every serious book he could obtain.  He was apprenticed to a printer at age 15 and was entirely self-supporting from that time on.  This was not unusual in this era.

In 1831, he made his way to New York City.  He spent a decade working virtually 24/7 at various jobs, first as a printer, then a journalist and then as an editor and publisher, including publisher of a short-lived magazine he called the New Yorker.  He launched the New York Tribune in 1841.

He had met his wife Molly in 1836 in a boarding house dedicated to the ideals of Sylvester Graham—no alcohol, tobacco, coffee or tea and a vegetarian diet.

Their marriage was loving but unhappy.  They had seven children, five of whom died young.  Greeley cared for his wife, but he cared more for his work, and she was often lonely, depressed and sick.

He supported the Whig Party, which was the party of respectability, in contrast to roughneck Jacksonian Democrats.  The Whigs were the predominant party of upper-class and middle-class property owners and also of  intellectuals and idealists.

Greeley converted to Universalism as a youth and was an active church member all his adult life.

Universalists taught that God is a loving father who would not condemn any of his children to eternal punishment in Hell, a doctrine thought by many people at the time to threaten the foundations of society.

They believed in religious liberty.  They were in the forefront of reform—against slavery, against capital punishment, for labor reform and for temperance.

They were much more popular among farmers, wage-earners and shopkeepers than were the more intellectual Unitarians, which was the demographic to which Greeley himself appealed as editor and writer.

Greeley once wrote, “I believe God’s truth is higher, wider, deeper and longer than all our creeds, and includes what is best in all of them.”  Another time he wrote, “I believe Jesus of Nazareth was sent by God to enlighten and save our race, but precisely what and who He was beyond this, I do not know.”

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Did the Pentagon say “no”? Momentous if true

September 20, 2024

Col. Lawrence Wilkerson, who was chief of staff to Secretary of State Colin Powell during the Bush administration, is a critic of U.S. war policy. 

He said on Judge Andrew Napolitano’s Judging Freedom podcast that Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin told President Biden that the Pentagon would not agree to firing long-range missiles into Russia nor to supporting Israel in an attack on Hezbollah or Iran.

President Biden was furious, but went along with it, according to Wilkerson’s sources.

This is momentous, if true.

It means that the U.S. military is no longer under control of the civil authority.  We US Americans have a new branch of government, not provided for in the Constitution.  [Added 09/22/2024]  Actually this is not true.  There was no actual defiance of the civil authority.  It is still momentous, if true.

But, on the other hand, it also means the odds of nuclear war between now and election day are much less than I thought.

Here is a transcript of a key part of Wilkerson’s interview.

Wilkerson: I think what we’re seeing here is another attempt, because a 100-plane strike didn’t do it, by Netanyahu to provoke Hezbollah to some sort of action that he can then declare is warlike to the extent that he can do what he wants to do with them — even though I’m told with great confidence in the sources that the latest two visits by the Central Command Unified Commander were to tell him [Netanyahu] that we would not be with him in the event of his going to war with Hezbollah that he provoked. Nor will we be with him going to war with Iran that he provoked. And we made it quite clear that we would know if he provoked it.

Napolitano: You’re speaking of General Kurilla [CENTCOM commander since April 2022].

Wilkerson: Yes. Yes.

Napolitano: So Scott Ritter agrees with you, Doug Macgregor says he can’t imagine Austin and Blinken letting General Kurilla do that. It’s very very interesting. … Is this speculation on your part or is it based on sources?

Wilkerson: It’s based on some pretty reliable sources. And here’s the bigger picture and I hope the others told you this too. Biden’s fury — and you could see it — he was seething when he met with the British Prime Minister.

Napolitano: Yes, yes, we have that clip. He was out of control with anger.

Wilkerson: And what he [had] just been told, apparently, was by the Pentagon, “No dice, Mr President. No dice on Ukraine and no dice on Gaza. We’re in charge now.”

Napolitano: No dice. You’re talking about no dice on the long range missiles reaching deep into Russia, even though Tony Blinken had intimated all week in Kyiv with his British counterpart that this was happening. And Sir Keir Starmer, the British Prime Minister, had every reason to believe as he’s flying across the Atlantic that Joe Biden’s answer would be yes.

Wilkerson: He was embarrassed. He was embarrassed by the fact — he was pulling out his maps with target data and Biden told him, “Don’t even pull them out. We’re not going to talk about that.”

I’ve been told, again by fairly reliable sources, that Blinken and Sullivan — Blinken primarily, but Sullivan too — have been sidetracked, and what’s happened is the Pentagon has taken over, essentially, diplomacy as well as any action, militarily speaking, with regard to both theaters of war.

And so they’re now in charge.

I have to change my evaluation of Secretary Austin if that’s the case, because it means he listened finally to the people in the bowels of the Pentagon who know the truth, and he’s reacting to that, and he’s told the President Biden that, and to Biden’s credit, even though he was furious, he finally took that advice.

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The true story of Haitians in Springfield, Ohio

September 20, 2024

The important story about Haitians in Springfield, Ohio, doesn’t involve cats and dogs.  It is a story of a community of about 58,000 residents suddenly having to cope with 10,000 to 15,000 newcomers dumped in their midst since 2019.

This would be a problem no matter who the newcomers were, and it is made much worse by the fact that they are the product of a different culture.

A journalist named Asra Q. Nomani, who visited Springfield to investigate, wrote that Haitian migrants are not to blame for seeking a better life, nor long-time Springfield residents for resenting their impact on wages, prices and rents and on schools, medical facilities, police protection and other public services.

The person she blames is a man named George Ten who runs a business called First Diversity Staffing Group.  He sends out drivers in unmarked white Ford and Chevy vans to Florida and other states and recruit Haitians with promises of jobs.

The Haitians are mostly asylum seekers who have temporary permission to live in the United States while their petitions are being processes. 

Once in Springfield, they’re packed into one of the big dilapidated, overcrowded houses that Ten owns through shell companies, Nomani wrote.  Then First Diversity acts as an employment agency to place them in low-wage jobs for companies such as Dole Food Company Inc.

She said Ten is a multi-millionaire, who lives in a $1.35 million mansion and owns Audi, Mercedes and Porsche cars.  Nomani said he is expanding his business to other towns in Ohio and beyond.

She wrote that, according to her sources, the network has become so significant that it has drawn the attention of the area FBI field office and Ohio Attorney General Yost, with the whistleblowers revealing the inner secrets of this operation.

LINK

An Alleged Human Trafficking Empire in Springfield, Ohio by Asra Q. Nomani for the Jewish Journal.  (Hat tip to Steve from Texas)

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Israel is committing genocide in Gaza

September 17, 2024

Eleven-month-old polio patient in Gaza

Genocide consists of trying destroy or partly destroy a national, ethnic, racial or religious group.  It has two elements.  One is actions that directly or indirectly threaten the survival of the group, including killing them, causing them bodily harm and imposing conditions of life intended to destroy them.  The other is the intention to destroy the group.

I’m going to do a presentation this evening on Zoom to a discussion group of my church, in which I argue that Israel is guilty of genocide in Gaza and that the U.S. government should cut off all aid to Israel.  This post, and four preceding it, are the result of my preparation for that presentation.

The massacre in Gaza is genocidal in both scope and intention.

How many Palestinian Arabs have been killed?  The usual number that is given is about 40,000.  That is a minimum number, based on the number of reported deaths in Palestinian hospitals.  That number is growing more slowly because Gaza’s hospitals are being destroyed, one by one, and the deaths are not being reported.

It is reasonable to think that most of those who are killed never get to a hospital.  They die at home or under the rubble.  The Lancet, the authoritative British medical journal, estimated last summer that the death toll had reached 186,000.  Ralph Nader has estimated the number at 200,000.  Others have given even higher figures.

None of these figures are unreasonable.  They are huge, percentage-wise, considering that the estimated Palestinian Arab population of Gaza is only slightly over 2 million.  Also, any figure is already obsolete by the time it is published.  The number of dead is rising, week by week.

The number of Palestinians killed by bombs will be vastly outnumbered by the number who will die this winter of malnutrition, exposure and disease because of the Israeli blockade of food, water and medical supplies and the destruction of sanitation and water purification systems.  Already most Gazans are homeless, malnourished and sick.

U.N. Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese, drawing on a study by the University of Edinburgh, estimated 23,000 Palestinians are being killed each month, directly and indirectly.  This means 10 percent to 15 percent of the Gazan population will be dead by the end of this year.

Without a cease-fire, she said, the Israel Defense Forces “could end up exterminating almost the entire population in Gaza over the next couple of years.”  

But even with a cease-fire, the effects of the blockade will ripple out, in the form of children with stunted growth and chronic health problems throughout their lives.  Of course these dead won’t necessarily be counted as casualties of war.

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U.S. opens its wallet and arsenal to Israel

September 15, 2024

Israel’s war on Gaza is only possible due to US support and weapons by Ben Norton for Geopolitical Economy Report.

Gog & Magog, Amalek and religious Zionism

September 14, 2024

Jewish, Christian and Muslim scriptures all prophesy a version of the End Times, when there will be a final showdown between good and evil and the beginning of God’s rule on earth.  Jewish and Christian scriptures prophesy the End Times will be preceded by a war against Israel by an entity called Gog and Magog.

Shlomo Ben-Ami, a peace activist and former Israeli foreign minister, wrote that the leaders of the Religious Zionist Party in Israel, backed up by certain influential evangelical Christian ministers, see the Oct. 7 attacks as the beginning of the War of Gog and Magog.

Since this is a divinely prophesied war, with God determining the winner, there is a duty to wage it and no way to compromise.

These are not the views of a fringe group. These are the views of Benazel Smotrich, Israel’s finance minister, and Itamer ben Gvir, minister of national security. They are members of the Religious Zionist Party, part of the governing coalition led by Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud Party.

They are also the views of American evangelical pastor named James Hagee, who declared, “Prophetically, we are on the verge of the Gog-Magog war that Ezekiel described in chapters 38 and 39.”  He believes with war would result in the near annihilation of the Jews, followed by the Second Coming of Jesus Christ and faithful Christians and converts – not the Jews themselves – inheriting the kingdom of God on Earth.

Ben-Ami says the leaders of the Religious Zionist Party have a three-step program—drive Palestinian Arabs from the Holy Land, rebuild the Third Temple in Jerusalem on the site of the Al Aqsa Mosque and replace democracy with the Kingdom of the House of David.

One necessary step in building the Third Temple is a purification process that requires the use of the ashes of a red heifer “without blemish. which has never known the yoke.”  Cattle breeders in Texas and elsewhere have been trying for years to breed such a heifer—so far, without success (thank goodness).

This is explosive stuff.  The Al Aqsa Mosque is sacred to Muslims, and Hamas’s name for the Oct. 7 attacks is Al Aqsa Flood.  The leaders of Hamas, for their part, think of the Holy Land as sacred Muslim land.

Religious Zionists believe that Hamas is a manifestation of Amalek, a wicked tribe that, according to the Bible, resisted Israel’s conquest of the Holy Land and were deservedly wiped out—man, woman and child.  But Religious Zionists say the Amalekites are an eternal enemy of the Jewish people who keep reappearing, age after age, and must be wiped out again.

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