Reminder: New Website URL

My blog is now located here. The new, RSS feed is for posts is here. The new, RSS feed for comments is here. At some point on Sunday or Monday, the URL of this site and all internal links will begin redirecting to the new blog or the respective post. The new blog might be unavailable for a few hours during that time as the final transfer is completed.

New Website

My blog has moved here. Please update all links, RSS feeds, and bookmarks. The new site is still a work in progress, but it should be complete in a few days.

Administrative Update

I am migrating to samueljscott.com today and tomorrow, so readers might have a few technical difficulties. But the 2.0 version of this blog should be a vast improvement  since it will have additional features as well.

My Favorite Song of the Moment

My blog –including this and all posts — has moved here. Please update all links, RSS feeds, and bookmarks.

This cover of Queen’s “Somebody to Love” from the film “Happy Feet” is by American actress Brittany Murphy, who passed away yesterday at the age of 32. My first memory of her is in “Clueless.”

Broken Heart

My blog –including this and all posts — has moved here. Please update all links, RSS feeds, and bookmarks.

If any of my readers could offer any advice on getting over a broken heart, this now-lonely writer would appreciate it.

Israeli Press

My first quote in an Israeli newspaper is here.

My Favorite Song of the Moment

A beautiful song from the Israeli, cult musical “The Band” about a singing troupe in the military during the war with Egypt in the early 1970s. Here is the film’s theme song, and here is the most popular song.

Japanese Culture

japanese

My blog –including this and all posts — has moved here. Please update all links, RSS feeds, and bookmarks.

RISHON LEZION, Israel — Roger Cohen makes some depressing observations on the land of the rising setting sun:

…I’m not aware of any other nation where fantasy, escapism and the cyber world have fused with such intensity.

Indeed, there’s a Japanese word, otaku, denoting a whole universe of monomaniacal geek-like obsession, whether with an electronic game, some odd hobby, or the cartoonlike “manga” comic books devoted to everything from kamikazes to kinky sex.

As Patrick Smith puts it in “Japan: A Reinterpretation,” to be “an otaku is merely the final word in private individuality. It is to reject anyone who would diminish the protected ego and to acknowledge an inability to achieve the intimacy of authentic human contact.”

Let’s face it, we’re all going a little otaku in a world where technology encourages a solipsistic retreat into private worlds and even flirting has been cyber-infected. But nowhere has this process gone as far as in Japan.

I agree. Japan is a country that produced a computer game in which players “rape women and girls, impregnate them, and then force them to get abortions.” Spengler notes that Japan is a also now a place “where teenage girls sell themselves to older men for pocket money, green hair is normal, and the adolescent suicide rate is the highest in history.” Cohen’s mention of “manga” cartoons on television and in comic books is quite an understatement — it is common to see nudity, rape, and pornography to an extent that includes monsters and tentacles doing the unimaginable to women. (Here are examples, but be warned: the images are graphic.)

Cohen continues:

My sense is that four factors have contributed to this: wealth, postmodernism, conformism and despair. Japan is rich enough, bored enough with national ambition, strait-jacketed enough and gloomy enough to find immense attraction in playful escapism and quirky obsession…

So the Japanese have settled into a postmodernist ennui, an Asian outpost of that European condition, but in a more dangerous part of the world…

I would have added another factor: civilizational humiliation. For centuries, the Japanese were a people that considered themselves to be superior to all other nations on earth. Now, most peoples in history have thought the same thing — but the Japanese took it to an extreme. The country isolated itself from the rest of the world until Matthew Perry, an American admiral, forced the country to trade with the United States. Until that time, any foreigners who ended up on Japan’s shores as a result of shipwrecks or other disasters were killed, according to my eighth-grade history teacher, because the government feared cultural contamination.

Now, imagine the Japanese being forced at gunpoint to interact with people deemed inferior. Then, almost a century later, imagine them enduring two atomic bombs that were dropped by a country that had threatened their oil-supply routes in the Pacific Ocean and forced them to go to war. (Again, this is the hypothetical viewpoint of the Japanese.) Then, Japan became the economic second-fiddle to the United States and fell into a decade of recession in the 1990s. Now, Japan’s historic rival, China, is poised to become the next economic superpower.

How does a civilization recover from all of these shocks? Just one — the humiliation of the atomic bombs — likely did enough damage by itself.

Cohen continues:

Finally, gloom seems rampant, a national condition. I couldn’t find anyone ready to tell me the worst is over or that Japan, or jobs, would bounce back, despite the bracing recent election of Yukio Hatoyama that ended a half-century of rule by the Liberal Democrats. Hatoyama has called for a new era of “Yuai,” or fraternity. He’s talking about Asian community as one way out of Japan’s self-marginalization. But any excitement seems muted.

A civilization’s birth-rate is an indication of its view of the future. When people have no hope, they have fewer children. Why would a mother want to bring a child into a world that she believes is going downhill? Predictably, Japan is facing a demographic crisis resembling that in Europe. The marriage rate is also declining.

It is not surprising that, as Cohen writes, “Japan leads humanity’s rush into isolating forms of electronic obsession.” I hope the rest of the world does not follow. I was in a bar here in Israel that was about to have a manga-themed night at which they were going to show the cartoons on the big-screen televisions. I left.

Earlier: On Japan.

Global Warming

climate change

My blog –including this and all posts — has moved here. Please update all links, RSS feeds, and bookmarks.

Stewart Brand classifies the viewpoints on climate change into four groups: denialists, skeptics, warners, and calamatists. I fall somewhere between the second and third:

SKEPTICS This group is most interested in the limitations of climate science so far: they like to examine in detail the contradictions and shortcomings in climate data and models, and they are wary about any “consensus” in science. To the skeptics’ discomfort, their arguments are frequently quoted by the denialists.

In this mode, Roger Pielke, a climate scientist at the University of Colorado, argues that the scenarios presented by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are overstated and underpredictive. Another prominent skeptic is the physicist Freeman Dyson, who wrote in 2007: “I am opposing the holy brotherhood of climate model experts and the crowd of deluded citizens who believe the numbers predicted by the computer models …. I have studied the climate models and I know what they can do. The models solve the equations of fluid dynamics, and they do a very good job of describing the fluid motions of the atmosphere and the oceans. They do a very poor job of describing the clouds, the dust, the chemistry and the biology of fields and farms and forests.”

WARNERS These are the climatologists who see the trends in climate headed toward planetary disaster, and they blame human production of greenhouse gases as the primary culprit. Leaders in this category are the scientists James Hansen, Stephen Schneider and James Lovelock. (This is the group that most persuades me and whose views I promote.)

“If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on earth is adapted,” Mr. Hansen wrote as the lead author of an influential 2008 paper, then the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere would have to be reduced from 395 parts per million to “at most 350 p.p.m.”

When I see charts like the one posted above, it seems clear that both sunspot activity and increasing levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can affect global temperature. But, paradoxically, the recognizable correlations occur at different times. Between 1910 and 1960, the temperature rise paralleled that of increasing sunspots. However, the increased temperatures from 1960 to 2000 corresponded to the rise in CO2.

The core question, then, is: Which variable has a great effect? (If there are any statistics experts out there, I wonder whether a measurement of the rates of change corresponding to temperature would reveal that either sunspots or carbon dioxide have a greater correlation to global temperature.) If it is sunspot activity, then humanity can do nothing, and the entire issue is a non-starter. If it is CO2, then the world can do something to prevent some global warming.

Regardless, it is always a good idea to decrease the level of carbon-dioxide in the atmosphere simply because pollution is unhealthy. However, the only way to make a drastic difference would be for the world to revert to pre-Industrial Revolution lifestyles. So, a balance needs to be struck until so-called sources of “green” energy are developed: How can the world reduce CO2 levels without suffering economic harm?

Daily Reading

What (formerly) everyday items have disappeared in the last decade? The effects of unemployment are devastating — not only to the person who lost his job, but also to those around him. Making sense of modern anti-Semitism. How to live happily on 75-percent less money. The cultural rise and decline of “The Simpsons” over the past twenty years.

Red Sox vs. Yankees

RISHON LEZION, Israel — The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees will play on Opening Day on April 4. I am eager for revenge because, after the World Series victory by the Evil Empire, I owe a friend a steak dinner at El Gaucho in Israel.

Blogging for Money

My blog –including this and all posts — has moved here. Please update all links, RSS feeds, and bookmarks.

So, I’ve been doing some additional research into website advertising and online marketing. Since I started my career as a newspaper journalist and then went into Internet marketing, monetizing the blog might be a logical step.

Anyone have any advice or thoughts?

Outdated Checks

JERUSALEM — Great Britain might phase-out checks in the next several years:

The board of the UK Payments Council, which oversees payments strategy, is meeting to discuss whether the cheque clearing system could end by 2018.

Cheques, first written 350 years ago, are widely regarded by experts as being in terminal decline.

However, the failure to find a suitable replacement has meant no date has yet been set for the system to end.

Not only are checks in danger, printed money itself might become extinct. This worries me for two reasons: an increased cost to the consumer, and less anonymity in general.

When people pay with a credit or debit card, roughly three percent of the purchase price goes to the issuer of the piece of plastic. (Think of it as a “service” or “convenience” fee, but it’s really just an ingenious way for banks to generate a lot of profit because the cost to process the transaction is essentially zero.)

As a result, business frequently raise their prices to pass along that cost to the consumer. For example, I once bought a girlfriend here flowers at a small kiosk with my Bank Leumi debit card because I had forgotten to bring cash. The owner simply told me: “Five shekels (roughly one dollar) more.” Imagine this exchange occurring in every sale throughout the world. If checks no longer exist and a suitable alternative is not found, then a reliance on plastic would lead to a general increase in prices.

Still, as the article mentions, banks are looking at electronic means including mobile phones through which purchasing can occur. While the cost to perform the transaction would be next to nothing, private commerce would no longer be anonymous. There would always be a digital, paper trail.

Obviously, I do not depend on cash as a means to buy drugs, sell them, or engage in any nefarious activities like organized crime, but I do not like the idea of the possibility that someone, somewhere could theoretically see every item that I buy and sell as well as possibly have access to my private, financial data. Hackers will always find a way.

If Cellcom, for example, would own my Israeli cell phone, then Cellcom would be responsible for the security of my financial transactions processed through and stored on the device. And if the electronic safeguards prove costly to them, then I might have the cost passed along to me anyway.

Elsewhere: Many companies are fighting the credit-card fees. Good for them!

Daily Reading

The burst of the agriculture bubble in the 1980s might provide some economic lessons for today. A computer model could predict events in the world’s hot-spots. Pakistan might implode. Han Solo and game theory in “Star Wars.” New Scientist magazine “proves” that dogs are better than cats — but only by a hair.

My Favorite Song of the Moment

Although, I must admit, I’m impressed by her voice, but I’m laughing at the cheesiness of the lyrics. Here’s a round-up of other holiday songs: Chinese Food on Christmas, Adam Sandler’s classic tribute to Chanukah, and Kyle’s always a lonely Jew on “South Park.”

Related: War on Christmas (in Israel). Hat tip: Jewlicious.

Israel and Britain

JERUSALEM — Relations between England and Israel might not be as warm as one might think:

One of Britain’s most eminent historians has assailed the country’s policy towards Israel, questioning why Queen Elizabeth II has visited a host of despotic regimes but has never made an official visit to the Holy Land.

Speaking at the Anglo-Israel Association dinner in central London last week, Andrew Roberts suggested that the Foreign Office had a de facto ban on royal visits to Israel.

“The true reason of course, is that the FO [Foreign Office] has a ban on official royal visits to Israel, which is even more powerful for its being unwritten and unacknowledged,” he said. “As an act of delegitimization of Israel, this effective boycott is quite as serious as other similar acts, such as the academic boycott, and is the direct fault of the FO Arabists.”

Roberts, whose work includes biographies of Churchill and Chamberlain, as well as Hitler and Roosevelt and a look at the relationship between Napoleon and Wellington, said that Britain had been at best “a fair-weather friend” to Israel.

I am not entirely surprised that foreign ministries — including the U.S. State Department in most administrations — tend to be more Arabist than sympathetic to Israel. International relations is like a chess game, only perhaps three-dimensional and with hundreds of sides. It is realpolitik in its most-pure form. With the number of Arab and Muslim countries outnumbering Israel by dozens to one and since many of them have oil — a resource that can bring the West to its knees — the bias is at least an understandable reality. (Conversely, defense ministries are generally more supportive of Israel, for obvious reasons.)

Moreover, the United Kingdom has a mixed history with Israel in the recent past. After World War I, Britain gained control of a large part of the Middle East including the region known as Palestine. Over the next several decades, the country had to deal with Zionists pursuing independence — and some extreme factions did things like bomb the King David Hotel — as well as an Arab population that became increasingly unruly and prone to rioting. Eventually, the United Kingdom essentially threw up its hands and said the diplomatic equivalent of, “Thank you, that’s enough, we’re sick of this. We’re going home.” (Remember, the country was also dealing with Mahatma Ghandi-led turmoil in India at the time, and the post-World War II cost of empire was becoming too high.) After the British left, the Arabs in Palestine rejected a U.N. offer to partition the land, the Jews declared an independent State of Israel, and the neighboring, Arab countries invaded. The rest is modern, Middle East history.

If present trends continue, it is likely that relations between England and Israel will only become worse. Anti-Semitism in Britain and elsewhere is increasing. (See here for a documentary by Channel 4 in England.) A U.K. court has issued an arrest warrant for former Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni for Israel’s actions during the war with Gaza last year. The number of extremist Muslims in Britain is increasing. The trends present in a country’s population usually filter upwards towards the government over time.

On a related issue, the author mentioned in the article also reportedly made other comments that will hopefully not fall on deaf ears:

Roberts, whose current book The Storm of War: A New History of the Second World War reached No. 2 on the Sunday Times best-seller list, also attacked those who accuse Israel of responding “disproportionately” to provocation.

“William Hague [a Conservative MP] called for Israel to adopt a proportionate response in its struggle with Hizbullah in Lebanon in 2006, as though proportionate responses ever won any victories against fascists,” he said.

“In the Second World War, the Luftwaffe killed 50,000 Britons in the Blitz, and the Allied response was to kill 600,000 Germans – 12 times the number and hardly a proportionate response, but one that contributed mightily to victory. Who are we therefore to lecture the Israelis on how proportionate their responses should be?”

He then questioned how Britain would respond to similar provocations faced by Israel.

“Very often in Britain, especially when faced with the overwhelmingly anti-Israeli bias that is endemic in our liberal media and the BBC, we fail to ask ourselves what we would do placed in the same position?

“The population of the UK is 63 million – nine times that of Israel. In July 2006, to take one example entirely at random, Hizbullah crossed the border of Lebanon into Israel and killed eight patrolmen and kidnapped two others, and that summer fired 4,000 Katyusha rockets into Israel which killed a further 43 civilians.

“Now, if we multiply those numbers by nine to get the British equivalent, just imagine what we would not do if a terrorist organization based as close as Calais were to fire 36,000 rockets into Sussex and Kent, killing 387 British civilians, after killing 72 British servicemen in an ambush and capturing a further 18?

“I put it to you that there is absolutely no lengths to which our government would not go to protect British subjects under those circumstances, and quite right, too. So why should Israel be expected to behave any differently?”

Roberts is absolutely correct. But I will go a step further: the phrase “proportionate response” in military terms does not mean what most people and journalists think. (Dwight Eisenhower, as Supreme Allied Commander during World War II, was ultimately responsible for the firebombing of the German city of Dresden during World War II that killed many civilians. Should he have been tried later for war crimes?) Moreover, Israel’s intentions in the war against Hamas were morally sound while those of the terrorist group were not.

Elsewhere: Isi Leibler writes that Europe has forsaken Israel.

Foreign Policy

The magazine looks at Hizbollah’s “halal [sexual] hookups” and whether Afghanistan will become President Obama’s Vietnam.

Muslim Veils

Here is one Bostonian woman’s experience — good and bad — with wearing a hijab in public.

Addendum: Many Jewish women would agree with her comments on the benefits of modest clothing.

Paid by the Hour

Hourly workers, in general, are reportedly happier than salaried employees.

I’m undecided. I suppose it depends on the specific job and circumstances. Those who are paid per hour are less likely to have bosses take advantage of them while salaried workers can be forced to work fifty-hour weeks if their bosses see fit. However, salaried positions usually come with better benefits and retirement packages. Readers, what say you?

Geopolitics

My blog — including this post and all others — has moved here. Please update all links, RSS feeds, and bookmarks.

Can one measure quantitatively the amount of power a country has in the world? Here and here are two efforts.

Newspaper Politics

JERUSALEM — So I was unfolding the weekend papers to read over Shabbat when the insert pictured above dropped out of the Jerusalem Post. It was a printed copy of the U.N. Declaration of Human Rights.

Now, the two English-language newspapers in Israel are the Post and the English version of Ha’aretz, which is one of the oldest publications in the country. But, unlike newspapers in the United States and like those in England, each one has a definite political and religious bent. Ha’aretz is for left-wing, usually-secular readers while the Post is for right-wingers who are often religious. The respective choices of op-ed columnists make these distinctions clear, but frequently the words and tone of articles — and even the news articles themselves that are chosen to be published — hint at the bias as well. If you want to attempt to reach a “fair and balanced” view of the complex issues in the Middle East, start by reading — or at least skimming — both. (In addition, there are dozens of religious, daily and weekly newspapers for nearly every preference a believer might have.)

Out of curiosity, I checked Ha’aretz to see if the U.N.’s advertisement was inserted there as well. Nope. Clearly, the United Nations wanted to send an obvious message to the conservatives readers of the Post. (Although it is possible that Ha’aretz wanted too much money for the insert.)

What I found interesting was the contact masthead at the bottom of the advertisement:

The author is the “Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights in the Occupied Palestinian Territory.” As I wrote recently, there is no such thing as “occupied Palestinian territory.” Moreover, the two UNHCR offices listed were in Ramallah in the West Bank and in the Nasser Area in the Gaza Strip. Perhaps if the United Nations had an office in Sderot, where families have been enduring incoming rockets from Hamas on almost a daily basis, then the organization would be less biased.

My Favorite Song of the Moment

“School” (1974) by Supertramp. I’ve always liked the record “Crime of the Century” because its dedication simply reads “To Sam.”

Encore: Here is “Asylum,” the best song on the album.

War on Christmas (in Israel)

My blog –including this and all posts — has moved here. Please update all links, RSS feeds, and bookmarks.

RISHON LEZION, Israel — In the United States, the so-called “War on Christmas” is commonly known as a political movement by the Religious Right.

Well, the Jewish state is seeing the flip side of the religious coin — to keep Christmas “out”:

The “Lobby for Jewish values” this week began operating against restaurants and hotels that plan to put up Christmas trees and other Christian symbols ahead of Christmas and the civil New Year.

According to the lobby’s Chairman, Ofer Cohen, they have received backing by the rabbis, “and we are even considering publishing the names of the businesses that put up Christian symbols ahead of the Christian holiday and call for a boycott against them.”

Fliers and ads distributed among the public read, “The people of Israel have given their soul over the years in order to maintain the values of the Torah of Israel and the Jewish identity.

“You should also continue to follow this path of the Jewish people’s tradition and not give in to the clownish atmosphere of the end of the civil year. And certainly not help those businesses that sell or put up the foolish symbols of Christianity.”

The Jerusalem Rabbinate also works each year to ensure restaurants and hotels receiving kosher certification from the Jerusalem Religious Council do not put up Christian symbols.

According to a senior official in the kashrut department, this is done each year consensually, but that businesses which do not meet this requirement may find their kashrut certificate revoked.

I was on my way to a New Year’s Eve party in a local pub last year when I stopped in a kiosk. To my surprise, the convenience store was decked out in decorations that would normally be seen at Christmas in the United States. And then I remembered that the owners of the kiosk were Christians who had emigrated from the Soviet Union under Israel’s Law of Return, which allows anyone who has at least one Jewish grandparent to become an automatic, Israeli citizen even it that person is not Jewish himself. Since I had always been friendly with them when I lived in Rishon Lezion, I posed for a picture.

The Israeli city of Rishon Lezion is nicknamed “Russian Lezion” for a reason — sometimes you are more likely to hear Russian than Hebrew in the city center. As a result, there are more than a few shops with Christmas items.

That night, I went to the pub for the New Year’s Eve party, and Christmas was a theme, if understated enough in a way that the secular Israelis there might not have known the connotations that a native American would have seen.

The bar was decorated with red balloons and other items of a similar color. More than a few bartenders and guests wore Santa hats and similar items. After everyone fired flares at midnight, a regular patron dressed as Santa Claus sat on a chair behind the bar and threw gifts into the crowd (see the picture at the top of the post). I did not want to drag the party down, but I had wanted to ask my friends there if they knew that the color red in Christmas decorations, at least according to what I had heard, symbolizes the blood of Jesus, especially on candy canes.

Although there were a few grumblers in the bar who insisted that everyone should be honoring “Sylvester” with its negative connotations rather than the secular New Year, nearly everyone just wanted to have fun. American Jews grow up in an environment in which they feel alienated during Christmas (how far can one go in participating in holiday activities without appearing to endorse the theological theme?), but those born and raised in Israel never had to deal with the complicated feelings that arise since they grew up in a Jewish state. The clothes and decorations are merely yet another excuse for secular Israelis to throw a party, and they are sufficiently Westernized through television and films to be familiar with the standard holidays and associated themes.

And party they did. The bar was not kosher, so it was in no danger of losing a kashrut (kosher) certificate — especially since Rishon Lezion is relatively far from Jerusalem. But I left with lingering questions. The secular, Westernized celebration of the holiday season — and the rabbinical efforts to clamp down on the phenomenon — is yet another example of one of the central paradoxes facing Israel.

The Jewish state wants to be two things: a Jewish state and a free, democratic state. But what is the solution when these competing priorities conflict? If all Israelis start celebrating Christmas (either as Christians or as secularized revelers), then it will arguably no longer be a Jewish state. If the government bans everyone from having anything to do with the holiday, then it will no longer be a free state.

Elsewhere: A related post on this issue. Hat tip: Dov Bear. Brad Hirschfield writes that these Jews are doing to Christians what Christians did to them centuries ago.

Reading List

It seems that I have a lot of reading for the next few days. These articles look interesting:

From Foreign Policy:

Why is the United States letting jihadists have free reign online?

How Israelis see Barack Obama

How Osama bin Laden escaped Tora Bora while surrounded

From the Christian Science Monitor:

Are more Americans are joining jihad?

High-school civics courses are teaching nation-building — at home

More college students are dropping out because they need to work

Ayn Rand’s growing popularity among U.S. conservatives

The Muslim Public Affairs Council released recommendations on combating extremism among Muslim youth in the United States

From the Asia Times:

Spengler thinks the recent, positive economic statistics are a load of bunk

Other sources:

Michael J. Totten highlights a report that Hizbollah now has dangerous delusions of grandeur

Is the Internet destroying culture and interpersonal relations?

A friend forwarded an article on how twentysomething journalists in the United States are actually less eager to “rock the boat” in regards to new technologies

The Day After Tomorrow” might be more likely than you would like to think

Why an 85-year-old, Israeli man avoided doctors for sixty-five years until he had a heart attack

Only in Israel

JERUSALEM — So I was walking to a book store at the local mall to buy the weekend papers before sundown. At the entrance, I passed through the metal detector and opened my backpack for the guard. Business as usual.

The man behind me was an Arab with a baby in a stroller. Out of laziness — I could tell by the shrug and the look on the his face — the guard told the man to use the other door that had neither a metal detector nor any other security. The guard obviously did not want to bother checking the stroller personally.

If I were in the United States, I would have thought the act was a nice one towards a father with a baby. In Israel, my reaction was: “That would be an easy way for someone to sneak a bomb into a mall!” Then I shrugged and went to buy my papers.

(For the record, I would have thought the same thing if the father had not been an Arab. I just don’t like people bypassing security as a result of laziness.)