[From last February. What I am seeing on the far Right today confirms my lack of trust. Once you embrace the way of the conspiracy theorist, there is no off ramp. It becomes an addiction. ]
My default position with all conspiracy theories is one of extreme skepticism. This is because there are common features of conspiracy theories that render them unreliable.
1. Almost all conspiracy theories rely on confirmation bias. The conspiracy theorist is always sensitized to the slightest bit of evidence that supports their conspiracy theory, yet they ignore, downplay, or dismiss any evidence that doesn’t fit well within their conspiracy. Confirmation bias is a common flaw in human reasoning, as we are all prone to selecting evidence that supports our beliefs. Yet conspiracy theorists tend to wallow in this flawed form of reasoning.
2. What makes the confirmation bias so bad is that it is also linked to emotional thinking. That is, most conspiracy theories are rooted in an emotional approach to reality. The most common emotion is fear. You’ll notice that most conspiracies are nefarious. The conspiracy is “out to get you” in some form or fashion. Fear feeds into confirmation bias because the conspiracy theorist thinks the best defense against the nefarious conspiracy is knowledge/information. To become aware (“woke”) of the conspiracy means you can try to position yourself in a safer place. Conspiracy theories also tend to portray the conspirators as extremely clever and powerful. In other words, more reason to be afraid.
3. The third problem I have with conspiracy theories is they tend to be rooted in the sin of Pride. When you begin to see yourself as among the select few who truly understand what’s happening because of your efforts to dig up the conspiracy, this feeds your sense of pride. In some ways, you are better than the average person because you have this special insight. You have seen “behind the curtains.” If only more would listen to you.
Confirmation bias, fear and pride don’t make for a good foundation for reliable beliefs. What’s more, the conspiracy theorists I have known in real life lead me to suspect that conspiracy theories are often addictive and destructive. A huge waste of time.

